Probability

(US) Frostmourne

We’re Probability, a Cutting Edge guild looking to add a couple of strong players to our roster for Manaforge Omega and beyond.

Formed in early Dragonflight, we built our mythic team from the ground up—progressing further each tier until achieving Cutting Edge in Amirdrassil, Nerub’ar Palace and Undermine. We’re proud that many of our raiders have been with us since the beginning.

While we take progression seriously, we value the culture we’ve built and the friendships we’ve made along the way. CUTE. We’re mostly based in Australia and in our 20s and 30s, with people from all walks of life. Expect plenty of trash talk on Discord. When we’re not raiding, you’ll find us pushing keys, running drunken treasure hunts, heading to the pub, or playing other games together.

• Wed/Thurs: 7:30–10:30pm server time

During the early weeks of a new tier, we may add a third raid night (Monday) to push early progression. As the tier progresses, this typically reverts to an optional heroic run. Additionally, during the latter half of the patch, we may add a third night if needed to push for Cutting Edge.

• Devastation Evoker

Exceptional players of any class are always welcome to apply.

We’re looking for players who can consistently perform at a CE level. That means:

• Top-tier output and survivability.
• Deep understanding of raid mechanics and how your class fits into each encounter.
• Maximising your vault each week with the gear to show for it.
• Strong mythic raiding experience, with a proven track record of progression. If you haven't reached CE, we'd expect to see solid high-end mythic boss progression.
• Logs you’re proud of.

But more importantly, we want players who are in it for the long run. You’re not here just to kill a few bosses—you’re here to be part of a team.

Consistency.
We keep a roster of ~26 people. While that means occasional bench time, it ensures we never cancel raid because someone’s away. Backup tanks, healers, and raid leads mean that if it’s raid night, we’re raiding. (It also means you can take a week off without killing prog.)

Preparation.
Progression is won before the pull. You’ll always know what’s expected each week—clear strats (yes, slideshows), planned assignments, all the right weakauras, consumables sorted, and strong leadership. While we’re always open to adapting as we learn, we never go in unprepared.

The Best Vibes.
We like to say the vibes are controlled, but let’s be honest—medium vibes turn high vibes real fast, especially when prog is good (or hilariously bad). We’re mostly based in Australia, with a mix of professionals, tradies, parents, and people with questionable dog opinions. Expect banter, good laughs, and maybe just a tiny bit of well-meaning toxicity.

If you’re interested, message me on Discord @parobola to chat more!